Specialist climate scenario analysis
Scenario Analyses builds and runs governed climate-risk models, physical and transition, for organisations that need results boards can use and auditors can trace to their inputs, assumptions and methods.
Governed models, transparent inputs, board-ready outputs
We screen every asset in a portfolio for physical climate risk, returning banded, scenario-aware results on one comparable Low / Medium / High axis, and we assess transition exposure using organisational emissions, financial data and NGFS carbon-price pathways. Each hazard is assessed with a single governed model under formal version and change control, anchored to public, peer-reviewed climate science.
We publish what matters for trust: inputs, data sources, scenarios and what each band means. That lets clients audit the provenance of a result and trace it back to public, peer-reviewed science.
Every output is framed for IFRS S2 and TCFD: physical and transition risk identification, scenario resilience and the metrics that belong in the report. We are deliberately honest about scope: screening prioritises where to look; it does not replace site-level engineering or financial analysis, and we say so on every model.
High-quality screening, within reach
Scenario Analyses was built to close a gap. Rigorous, asset-level climate screening has long been the preserve of the largest balance sheets: for a company with hundreds or thousands of sites, screening every asset at credible quality was simply unaffordable, so most settled for a coarse, top-down estimate or went without.
We set out to change that. By pairing governed models, anchored to public, peer-reviewed climate science, with an efficient, repeatable pipeline, we make thorough screening scale to portfolios of any size, and we price it so that strong analysis is no longer reserved for a handful of firms. The result is high-quality, scenario-aware screening that a mid-sized company can actually commission, on the same governed models we run for the largest estates.